I have revisited the saga of Minnesota Fifth District Rep. Ilhan Omar now that President Trump has tuned into it (again). The Free Beacon headlined my column “Yes, Ilhan Omar married her brother,” but it might well have been Thank you for your attention to this matter!
I’ve been covering the story for nearly 10 years. A reader now advises that Polymarket is running a betting pool on the story:
On December 15, 2025, Donald Trump publicly referenced allegations that Rep. Ilhan Omar married her brother. On the following day, Tom Homan, former acting ICE director and Trump administration border czar, said officials are reviewing historical records related to the allegations, with no charges announced.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming that Ilhan Omar has been married to her brother for any period of time is publicly released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, it will also suffice if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally files criminal charges or announces an indictment against Ilhan Omar that clearly and explicitly accuse her of having married her brother, including charges brought under immigration or marriage-fraud statutes such allegations that she knowingly entered into a marriage with her brother to obtain or facilitate U.S. immigration or legal status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This invites a sucker bet. The pool on “Yes” is running at 3 percent, but there’s no way it could pay off. Among other things, criminal charges would be barred by the statutes of limitations. Who is the judge of “a consensus of credible reporting”? What is “definitive evidence”?
Suckers of the world, unite. You have nothing to lose but your money.
You be the judge. Below is a screenshot from the Instagram account of Omar’s first legal husband — i.e., her brother Ahmed Nur Said Elmi — that was only one of many pieces of similar evidence wiped from the Internet after we drew attention to “this matter” on Power Line. The caption reads: Nieces, fresh out of the vagina!
The destruction of evidence was one of my themes in the September 2016 City Journal column “The curious case of Ilhan Omar.” Luke Rosiak wrote about the Instagram post below and a bit more in the Daily Caller story “Ilhan Omar Deletes 2013 Post That Revealed Her Father’s Name.”
In a court of law, a jury would be instructed that it can draw inferences against a party responsible for the destruction of relevant evidence. The relevant evidence destroyed in this case would be enough to sink Omar all by itself.
