It has been estimated that through human history, around two to three percent of people have been homosexual. There appears to be a biological basis, as yet undiscovered, for that phenomenon. In recent years, we have seen an extraordinary explosion of people telling pollsters they are gay, or queer, or bisexual, or transexual. But only among young people in certain Western countries, which suggests a social rather than a biological explanation. And I am skeptical that any major change in actual behavior accompanied the change in poll results.
Now the fad may be over:
This will be an extremely controversial article. Prof. @jean_twenge shows that young adults are walking from LGBTQ+ identity and it was more of a social contagion than an orientation. There’s been a 21% decline in young adults identifying as LGB+ in just 3 years. pic.twitter.com/ZwZJSIUu0t
— Anthony Bradley (@drantbradley) March 3, 2026
If, as I suspect, the change in youthful mores had more to do with answers to pollsters and social media posturing than with actual conduct, a “free fall” in poll numbers is not surprising.
