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Goodbye, Big Apple?

The latest polling suggests that Zohran Mamdani is on his way to becoming the next Mayor of New York City:

In the most likely three-way race, the Queens assemblyman trounces ex-Gov. Andrew Cuomo by nearly 20 points, 46.7% to 28.6%, with GOP nominee Curtis Sliwa in a distant third with 16.2% of the vote.

Roughly 8.5% remain undecided, according to the poll.
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“It would come as a major surprise if anyone other than Mamdani is elected mayor of New York City,” the polling outfit said.

In an extreme instance of the polarization that typifies our public life, many New Yorkers will consider leaving the city if the socialist bigot wins:

It also shows that nearly 40% of voters believe that Mamdani would be a threat to New York City’s future.
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26.5% of those surveyed said they would consider leaving NYC if Mamdani is elected.

Could New York go the way of Portland, Chicago and Minneapolis? It could depend on turnout, which will be low. In low turnout elections, intensity is critical, and the most fanatical voters are Mamdani’s. So I would be surprised if we see an upset.

Andrew Cuomo isn’t giving up, however:



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